Pūtea kore whakapono i roto i te tāra

I roto i te mākete forex e hanga e he au āhua hou, e fokotuu e te huri i te toenga o te kaha i roto i te huarahi i te ritenga i teie nei.

Kei te korero tatou e pā ana ki i runga i te tauhohenga mākete rongo ki te faatura ki te auau huamoni i runga i nga moni US Federal Reserve. Kia titiro koe i tauākī tata e rangatira whangai, nana nei i korero e pā ana ki te whakapainga motuhake o te mākete mahi, maranga pikinga me te tupu ōhanga pūmau.

Hei tauira, tata mea he fakafofonga o Rosengren o te whangai e taea e ōhanga te whenua o te whakatutuki mahi tonu i roto i te tau e haere ake, i roto i te hononga ki i reira he katoa take mo te hua āta o reiti. ka mea a whangai Kawana Tarullo e kore e whakahaere tikanga i roto i te taea o te whakatairanga i ngä päpätanga huamoni i tēnei tau. ka mea a te peresideni o te Federal Reserve Bank o Atlanta Dennis Lockhart e he kainga tūmanako pikinga, a kei te tata te mākete mahi mahi tonu.

whakaae maha rangatira whangai i runga i te hiahia ki te whakapiki ake i ngä päpätanga huamoni, meinga tūmanakohia te painga o te tāra US te ki te tupu, engari te mea tino te haere i runga i? Na reira ko te pikitia rawa rerekē. I roto i teie mau faahitiraa, tīmata te tāra US ki āta peka ki ētahi atu moni, ngā ki te rawa mōrearea pērā i te ūropi, tāra Ahitereiria me Aotearoa.

I runga i te pātai o te aha te tupu tenei, haere mai tetahi anake whakahoki: pea, nga kaitākaro nui me pūtea kōrero ki taua tauākī te kore, a i roto i te i pakaru o te pähekeheke me te tupu o te whiwhi i te tūranga ko te reira i roto i te rawa meá rite te tāra US Ko te tino overbought, me ngā tūmanako o atu e kore e tupu hāngai ki mahere ki te tukua nui kamupene pūtea me moni taiepa.

Ko tētahi atu tauira ngā o te mākete, he ananahi kirimana i runga i ngä päpätanga huamoni. Nuinga tata, huringa i roto i te aronga kino arahina ki te tono mo te tāra US. Ko te tūponotanga o te whakaarahia päpätanga huamoni whangai i Mahuru i 15% whakaritea ki te 30% mua tenei marama. I te wa ano 57% o nga kaiuru mākete whakapono ka kia nui haere taua auau i Hakihea.

e kore te mea te nuinga pea e whakakaha ana o te tāra US i te papamuri o hoko nui i pūtea pütahitanga, engari ki te tomo i te kaihokohoko natulá raruraru me te kohikohi rite maha whakahau mutu, whakawhetai ki nei ka taea i roto i te heke mai ki te hanga i te pateko taumata tautoko nui.

Ko tētahi atu take nui ko mahi o te ECB. I tona hui tata, hanga ECB te peresideni Mario Draghi kahore huringa i roto i ngā o te hōtaka whakamahunga i ine, i ko he ohorere ki kaihokohoko. Kaua tetahi i roto i te heke mai tata, engari te hanga tonu mahere ki te haukoti i tēnei hōtaka te kaiwhakahaere, me te kaupapa here moni kita. A, ka taua tupu, ka tupu ake ara te tono mō ngā rawa meá.

Na reira, ko te auau utu o nāianei o moni, me whakaaroa nga opuaraa o te US kaupapa tāra e tika e kore whakawhirinaki i runga i mahi a te whangai, me te tūranga, me te huru o pūtea nui ki ngā tūmanako i runga i te wahi o te ECB. Kia i te kau kua te tāra US tonu he tetahi kaha, a taea tupu he iti moka ki ētahi atu moni, engari kei te kitenga kua tatou pehea te āta huri te mākete ki rawa meá, ahakoa kihai i rite hohoro e rite tokomaha hiahia.